The teams projected to be over the $70,307,000 luxury tax threshold in 2010 include Boston ($77.8 million, assuming
Sheed got nothing), Dallas ($84.5 million), Denver $83.8 million), Houston ($73.6 million after the
Trevor Ariza/
Courtney Lee trade), the L.A. Lakers ($91.9 million before
Shannon Brown), Orlando ($92.6 million), Portland ($72.8 million) and Utah ($75.3 million). Some of those teams will never get under the tax threshold, and some of them won't try. But some will, and even those that don't make it will probably pawn off excess salary onto the teams with cap space they're otherwise struggling to use. Here are some such dumps that I'm officially predicting, apart from the ones that I'm not.
2)
DeShawn Stevenson- Similar to L.A, Dallas has huge amounts of salary committed, but it's mostly to worthwhile players. After dumping
Eduardo Najera and
Matt Carroll off to Charlotte, DeShawn Stevenson remains their last dead salary, a
$4.1 million expiring for an excess guard who figures not to see a minute behind
Jason Kidd,
Jason Terry,
Jason Barea,
Jason Butler,
Jason Beaubois and
Dominique Jason. Trading Stevenson doesn't get Dallas out from the luxury tax - nothing feasible ever will. But if that bothered them, they wouldn't have traded for
Jason Chandler. Even with their willingness to pay the tax, though, they'll only pay it for players who are worth it. Since Stevenson isn't, he represents easily trimmable fat, just like
Shawne Williams was last season. If Stevenson gets paired with a 2011 first, he'll make a good backup free-pick plan for whoever doesn't get Vujacic. Dallas can always buy another one.